Welcome to 338Canada 338Canada is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data This website is the creation of Philippe J Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal Philippe J Fournier is a political columnist for L’actualité, as well as a regular contributor to Politico Canada and The Walrus He also
Federal Map | 338Canada Complete map of latest 338Canada Electoral Projection Last update: November 16, 2025
338Canada British Columbia | Poll Analysis Electoral Projections 338Canada is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data This website is the creation of Philippe J Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal Philippe J Fournier is a political columnist for L’actualité, as well as a regular contributor to Politico Canada and The Walrus He also
338Canada Bullseye Charts CPC higher than 338 average CPC lower than 338 average LPC lower than 338 average LPC higher than 338 average Pollsters National LEG ARI ABA MSR NAN EKO IPS PAL RCO INN LATEST ALL Latest projection: May 18, 2025
About 338Canada For more information of the 338 Ratings of Canadian Pollsters, visit this page Here is the basic equation: The gamma exponent is usually ½ (hence, the square root of the sample size) The time variable t is calculated from the middle field date of a poll The beta exponent of the time changes whether we are in pre-campaign or campaign mode
Quebec | 338Canada The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here
338Canada Ontario | Poll Analysis Electoral Projections 338Canada is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data This website is the creation of Philippe J Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal Philippe J Fournier is a political columnist for L’actualité, as well as a regular contributor to Politico Canada and The Walrus He also