US Leading Indicators - The Conference Board The LEI has fallen by 2 7% in the six-month period ending May 2025, a much faster rate of decline than the 1 4% contraction over the previous six months “The LEI for the US fell again in May, but only marginally,” said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, Senior Manager, Business Cycle Indicators, at The Conference Board
Global LEI Report - The Conference Board About The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) and The Conference Board Coincident Economic Index® (CEI) for the global economy The composite indexes are the key elements in an early warning system to signal peaks and troughs in the global business cycle The CEI is a monthly metric that is highly correlated with real GDP
Global Leading Indicators - The Conference Board “The LEI for Germany retreated slightly in April but has been overall stable since the beginning of the year” said Allen Li, Associate Economist at The Conference Board “Stock prices and consumer confidence, which supported the Index in March, pulled back in April, but these declines were partially offset by a rebound in new orders for
LEI for China Decreased Again - conference-board. org “The China LEI decreased again in April,” said Malala Lin, Economic Research Associate, at The Conference Board “For at least 6 months, the month-on-month declines in the LEI have primarily been driven by persistent weakness in three components: consumer expectations, logistics prosperity index and new export orders in manufacturing
LEI for the UK Continued to Fall in April - conference-board. org The 6-month growth rate of the UK LEI has cooled but remained above the recession threshold Overall, the LEI reading suggests that, after a stronger than expected first quarter, economic growth in the United Kingdom will likely moderate in the remainder of 2025 The Conference Board expects UK GDP to grow by 1 4% in 2025 after 1 1% in 2024 ”
The LEI for Germany was unchanged in March - conference-board. org The Conference Board Leading Economic Index ® (LEI) for Germany was unchanged in March 2025 at 87 6 (2016=100), after rising by 0 1% in February Over the six-month period from September 2024 to March 2025, the LEI for Germany grew by 0 7%, a positive turn from the 1 0% contraction over the previous six-month period, from March to September 2024
THE CONFERENCE BOARD LEADING ECONOMIC INDEX® (LEI) FOR THE UNITED STATES The LEI for the US decreased by 0 7% in March and now stands at 100 5 (2016=100) Based on the revised data, this index decreased by 0 2% in February and in January Over the six-month span through March, the leading economic index decreased by 1 2%, with 7 out of 10 components advancing (diffusion index, six-month span equals 70%)
THE CONFERENCE BOARD LEADING ECONOMIC INDEX® (LEI) FOR THE UNITED STATES The LEI for the US decreased by 0 3% in January and now stands at 101 5 (2016=100) Based on revised data, this index increased by 0 1% in December and by 0 3% in November Over the six-month span through January, the leading economic index decreased by 0 9%, with 6 out of 10 components advancing (diffusion index, six-month span equals 65%)
News Release - conference-board. org The LEI’s six-month growth rate remained on an upward trend, but weaknesses among the components triggered the warning signal NOTE: The chart illustrates the so-called 3Ds—duration, depth, and diffusion—for interpreting a downward movement in the LEI Duration refers to how long the decline has lasted Depth denotes the size of decline