RecessionAlert Over multiple business cycles, Recession ALERT has informed institutional, family office private investors in advance of the risks probabilities of a U S recession and coupled this with U S stock market allocation important ETF market-timing strategies using a broad range of quantitative econometric statistical models
Our Service - RecessionAlert Recession ALERT informs you in advance of the risks probability of a U S recession and couples this with U S stock market asset allocation and market-timing models We do this through various weekly and monthly PDF reports, live timing model and charts heads-up-displays, as well as insightful subscriber-only research from our RESEARCH section
Sample Report - RecessionALERT Here is a link to immediately download your first item, a recent version of our oldest most popular PDF report, the Weekly SuperIndex The other reports will be emailed to you over the course of the next 3 weeks Please check your SPAM inbox for emails from noreply@join recessionalert com
Commentary - RecessionAlert We post occasional thoughts and interesting observations about our U S recession forecasting methodologies on this blog To see all the posts on a single page, click here
Sample Report - join. recessionalert. com The assessments outlined below are typical to showcase the general RecessionALERT Top-Down analytical approach, and represent our broad assessment of the current historic circumstances, from a Macro Stock Market view point
Research | RecessionAlert The RecessionALERT USMLEI (US Monthly Leading Economic Index) is a 21-factor monthly leading index for the US economy It is described in detail in this research note Up until now, we had deployed a standard Probit statistical model to track implied recession probabilities of the USMLEI
SuperIndex Primer - RecessionAlert Our short-leading SuperIndex recession signals give on average 3 months real-time advance warning of U S recession
The Market Economic Dashboard - RecessionAlert About RecessionALERT Dwaine has a Bachelor of Science (BSc Hons) university degree majoring in computer science, math statistics and is a full-time trader and investor
A Stylized Approach to Recession Forecasting | RecessionAlert When the indicator is identified to be in a falling regime, we call recession The importance of the “pattern recognition” approach is to avoid looking at numerical levels of the economic indicator or its first derivative all-together and focus on directional movement only
Stay Ahead of the Economy with the RecessionAlert Weekly Index - Expert . . . With the RecessionAlert Weekly Index, individuals and businesses can gain access to expert insights and valuable information to navigate through uncertain times By utilizing this powerful tool, you can make informed decisions and take proactive steps to protect your financial well-being
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REPORT SUMMARY FOR DATA REPRESENTING WEEK ENDED 28 Apr . . . - RecessionALERT WLA aggregate of SuperIndex, WLEI and ECRI WLI is now in 49th consecutive week in recession territory GOOGLE TRENDS RECESSION INDICATOR : Concern about an oncoming recession were rising rapidly to levels seen before the last two major recessions See chart below-right on this page wher