安裝中文字典英文字典辭典工具!
安裝中文字典英文字典辭典工具!
|
- r fivethirtyeight - Reddit
General political polling or sports topics may be considered by the moderators, but they should be as closely linked to Nate Silver 538 as possible Do not post the latest political "news" regardless of its apparent veracity Keep it to polls, polling, and the analysis of the same (Yes, 538's content blurs the lines )
- Can we talk about partisan pollsters this cycle and how we . . . - Reddit
For this discussion, the first case is "Republican leaning" while the second case is "Republican sponsored" 538 tags sponsored polls as partisan, because they show roughly a 6- point average advantage for the sponsor over non- sponsored polls 538 doesn't ignore partisan lean from pollsters though, they just handle it through a different
- Weekly Polling Megathread : r fivethirtyeight - Reddit
Welcome to the Weekly Polling Megathread, your repository for all news stories of the best of the rest polls The top 20 pollsters by the FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings are allowed to be posted as their own separate discussion thread Currently the top 20 are:
- Comparing Realclearpolitics vs Fivethirtyeight polling averages model . . .
Think of an instagram picture The more filters you put on it, the less detailed the image becomes So when 538 are applies algorithms to the polls to make them more accurate than the poll itself, they are just adding statistical noise Even if 538's numbers are more correct in 2024, it is because a broken clock is right twice a day
- I have a feeling the polls will be historically wrong just . . . - Reddit
-Avg of Polls had Adam Laxalt of Nevada beating Catherine Cortez Mastro by 1 5% Mastro went on to win and not one poll the week before the election showed her winning -Avg of Polls had Walker beating Warnock in GA by 1% when the reverse happened Again not 1 Poll in the week before showed a Warnock win
- 538 VS Real Clear Politics polling average : r fivethirtyeight - Reddit
They left their Texas numbers completely untouched for two full weeks, ignoring multiple well-rated polls listed on 538 showing TX tied or Biden up 1 or 2 The moment a new poll came in showing Trump up 4, they updated their average with that while leaving out the earlier ones Really influenced my opinion of that site
- Weekly Polling Megathread : r fivethirtyeight - Reddit
Welcome to the Weekly Polling Megathread, your repository for all news stories of the best of the rest polls The top 20 pollsters by the FiveThirtyEight pollster ratings are allowed to be posted as their own separate discussion thread Currently the top 20 are:
- Biden favored post-debate in 538 election model (51% chance of . . . - Reddit
It’s funny that everyone had a similar take, but flipped, after the Trump conviction “His chances didn’t tank! Polls didn’t move”! It’s possible we’re in a very static election Also possible in 2 weeks the polls tell a different story Anecdotally, I know a lot of people - not necessarily Dems - that said he did great
|
|
|